煤炭工程 ›› 2022, Vol. 54 ›› Issue (2): 133-139.doi: 10.11799/ce202202024

• 研究探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于EMD-LSTM的重介分选精煤灰分时间序列预测方法研究

程凯,王然风,付翔   

  1. 太原理工大学矿业工程学院
  • 收稿日期:2021-09-13 修回日期:2021-10-27 出版日期:2022-02-14 发布日期:2022-07-06
  • 通讯作者: 程凯 E-mail:ck19951011@163.com

Research on Time Series Prediction Method of Ash Content in Dense Medium Separation Clean Coal Based on EMD-LSTM

  • Received:2021-09-13 Revised:2021-10-27 Online:2022-02-14 Published:2022-07-06

摘要: 针对重介分选的智能化发展需求,根据重介精煤灰分数据噪声特征及灰分过程控制对灰分预测精度、预测时长的要求,提出了基于EMD-LSTM的重介精煤灰分时间序列预测方法。首先,通过经验模态分解(EMD)算法将重介精煤灰分时序数列中的不同尺度分量逐级分解出来,生成一系列具有相同特征尺度的本征模函数,从而去除一定噪声影响|其次,进一步借助于长短期记忆(LSTM)神经网络可解决数据的长期依赖问题,从而在长时间视野预测方面表现更为突出。该方法应用于实际数据集的短期预测,实验结果表明,对LSTM神经网络进行参数寻优后,基于EMD-LSTM的重介分选精煤灰分指标时间序列预测方法中,去除IMF1分量的模型所得的预测结果具有最小的标准差σ(0.1481)和平均绝对误差λ(0.1184),去除噪声后的EMD-LSTM模型可使预测准确性显著提高,能够有效解决精煤灰分预测的问题。

关键词: 重介分选, 精煤灰分时序数列, 噪声, 经验模态分解(EMD), 长短期记忆神经网络(LSTM), 精煤灰分预测

Abstract: Abstract: Aiming at the demand for intelligent development of dense medium separation, according to the noise characteristics of dense medium clean coal ash content and the requirements of ash content process control for ash prediction accuracy and prediction time, a time series prediction method of dense medium clean coal ash based on EMD-LSTM is proposed.First, the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) algorithm is used to decompose the different scale components in the clean coal ash time series data step by step to generate a series of eigenmode functions with the same feature scale to remove certain noise effects; secondly, further use Long and short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks can solve the problem of long-term dependence on data, which makes it more prominent in long-term visual field prediction. This method is applied to the short-term prediction of actual data sets. The experimental results show that after optimizing the parameters of the LSTM neural network, the EMD-LSTM-based heavy-medium separation clean coal ash index time series prediction method is obtained by removing the IMF1 component of the model The prediction result has the smallest standard deviation σ (0.1481) and the average absolute error λ (0.1184). The EMD-LSTM model after removing the noise can significantly improve the prediction accuracy and effectively solve the problem of ash prediction of clean coal.

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