中国煤炭依赖路径及影响因素研究

doi:10.11799/ce201812042

Abstract

Abstract: This study analyzed the formation process of coal path dependence and reflected the dependence of the national economic development by ten-thousand-yuan GDP as coal intensity. Based on the panel data of 41 industries from 2003 to 2015, the impact of technological progress, industrial structure, energy alternative, fixed asset investment rate and employment on coal dependence were examined. The results show that the technological progress and reduced investment in fixed assets have reduced coal dependence in industries, particularly heavy industries. Energy substitution has a significant impact on the industry's coal dependence. Decline in employment significantly contributes to the decrease of coal dependence in light industry. The industrial structure shows a positive impact on the heavy industry.

CLC Number:

TD-05

Zhang Lei Zhou JingJing. Research on China's Path of Coal Dependence and Its Influencing Factors[J]. COAL ENGINEERING, 2018, 50(12): 168-172.

0
/ / Recommend

Add to citation manager EndNote|Reference Manager|ProCite|BibTeX|RefWorks

URL: http://www.coale.com.cn/EN/10.11799/ce201812042

http://www.coale.com.cn/EN/Y2018/V50/I12/168

References

[1]谢和平，刘虹，吴刚.我国GDP煤炭依赖指数概念的建立与评价分析［J］[J].四川大学学报（哲学社会科学版）, 2012, 5:89-91 [2]Bildirici M E，Bakirtas T.The relationship among oil，natural gas and coal consumption and economic growth in BRICTS (Brazil,，Russian，India，China，Turkey and South Africa)countries[J].Energy, 2014, 65(2):134-144 [3]Apergis N，Payne J E.Coal consumption and economic growth: evidence from a panel of OECD countries[J].Energy Policy, 2010, (38):1353-1359 [4]Li R，Leung G C K .Coal consumption and economic growth in China[J].Energy Policy, 2012, 40:438-443 [5]李百吉，张倩倩.京津冀地区煤炭消费与经济发展的关系[J].干旱区资源与环境, 2016, 30(8):41-47 [6]付艳.能源消费、能源结构与经济增长的灰色关联分析[J].工业技术经济, 2014, 5:153-160 [7]Lei Y，Li L Pan D.Study on the relationships between coal consumption and economic growth of the six biggest coal consumption countries：with coal price as a third variable [J].Energy Procedia, 2014, (61):624-634 [8]Giraud G，Kahraman Z.How dependent is growth from primary energy?the dependency ratio of energy in 33 countries （1970-2011）[J].Documents De Travail Du Centre Deconomie De La Sorbonne, 2014, 97:1-26 [9]刘满芝，王锐，周梅华等.中国区域煤炭消费影响效应的比较分析——基于面板数据模型的实证经验[J].资源科学, 2011, 33(9):1641-1649 [10]Tang X，Jin Y，Mclellan B C，et al．.China’s coal consumption declining—impermanent or permanent? [J].Resources Conservation & Recycling, 2016, 129:307-313 [11]Long R，Wang H，Chen H.Regional differences and pattern classifications in the efficiency of coal consumption in China[J].Journal of Cleaner Production, 2015, 112(5):3684-3691 [12]张洪潮，王泽江，李晓利等.中国煤炭消费需求波动规律及成因分析[J].中国人口?资源与环境, 2014, ，24(1):94-101 [13]刘畅，崔艳红.中国能源消耗强度区域差异的动态关系比较研究——基于省（市）面板数据模型的实证分析[J].中国工业经济, 2008, 4:34-43 [14]郭爱君，胡安军，王祥兵.资源型经济区产业路径依赖的形成机制、特性与破解[J].经济问题探索, 2017, 10:73-79 [15]谢和平，刘虹，吴刚.煤炭对国民经济发展贡献的定量分析[J].中国能源, 2012, 34(4):5-9 [16]尹贻梅，刘志高，刘卫东.路径依赖理论及其地方经济发展隐喻[J].地理研究, 2012, 31(5):782-791 [17]Fisher-Vanden K，Jefferson G H，Liu H，et al.What is driving China’s decline in energy intensity?[J].Resource & Energy Economics, 2004, 26(1):77-97 [18]李金克，宋华岭，王风华.基于计量经济模型的煤炭消费与经济增长关系实证研究——以世界主要煤炭消费国为例[J].数理统计与管理, 2009, 28(）（2):204-209 [19]董殿文，刘文倩，代嗣俊.煤炭行业对菏泽市劳动力就业转移的影响[J].煤炭经济研究, 2016, 36(10):34-38

Research on China's Path of Coal Dependence and Its Influencing Factors

PDF (PC)

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

References

Related Articles 15

Recommended Articles

Metrics

Comments

[1]	. Discussion on cost management in project decision and engineering design stage [J]. , 2019, 51(6): 0-0.
[2]	. Effects of Network Capability on Enterprise Innovation in Coal Enterprise: Based on the Environmental Dynamism [J]. , 2019, 51(6): 0-0.
[3]	. [J]. COAL ENGINEERING, 2019, 51(5): 172-176.
[4]	. Analysis of Coal Mine Accidents Based on Trace Intersecting Theory [J]. COAL ENGINEERING, 2019, 51(5): 177-180.
[5]	. The “523” practice of ChengJiao coal mine constructing National level production safety standardized mines [J]. COAL ENGINEERING, 2019, 51(5): 181-184.
[6]	. China’s Policy Implementation Mechanism on Reducing Scattered Coal Consumption [J]. COAL ENGINEERING, 2019, 51(4): 127-133.
[7]	. Research on the Relationship between Social Responsibility and Financial Performance of Coal Enterprises [J]. COAL ENGINEERING, 2019, 51(4): 147-151.
[8]	. The Merging of Coal Mine Post Standard Operating Procedure and Risk Precontrol Management System of Safety in Coal Mine [J]. COAL ENGINEERING, 2019, 51(4): 152-156.
[9]	. Evaluation and Route of Coal De-capacity Based on Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model in Shaanxi [J]. COAL ENGINEERING, 2019, 51(4): 157-160.
[10]	. Combination Forecasting Method of Coal Industry Human Resource Demand Based on Multiple Regression Model and Grey Forecasting [J]. COAL ENGINEERING, 2019, 51(3): 151-154.
[11]	. Relationship between Coal Consumption、Economic Growth and Smog Pollution of China Central and Western Regions [J]. COAL ENGINEERING, 2019, 51(3): 155-160.
[12]	. Exploration and practice of green mine construction system in the new era [J]. COAL ENGINEERING, 2019, 51(2): 1-5.
[13]	. Status and prospect of research on optimization of China’s energy structure [J]. COAL ENGINEERING, 2019, 51(2): 149-153.
[14]	. Research on Coal Mine Emergency Capability Based on Logistic Curve and Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process [J]. COAL ENGINEERING, 2019, 51(2): 154-157.
[15]	. [J]. COAL ENGINEERING, 2019, 51(2): 158-160.