煤炭工程 ›› 2023, Vol. 55 ›› Issue (5): 135-140.doi: 10.11799/ce202305023

• 研究探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

煤矿系统性安全风险评价指标体系及应用

许鹏飞,赵浩,付恩三,张明   

  1. 1. 应急管理部研究中心(中国煤炭工业发展研究中心)
    2. 应急管理部研究中心
  • 收稿日期:2022-09-25 修回日期:2023-02-10 出版日期:2023-05-19 发布日期:2023-05-19
  • 通讯作者: 赵浩 E-mail:360414828@qq.com

Study on index system and application of coal mine systematic safety risk analysis

  • Received:2022-09-25 Revised:2023-02-10 Online:2023-05-19 Published:2023-05-19
  • Contact: hao zhao E-mail:360414828@qq.com

摘要: 针对当前我国煤矿事故时有发生,煤炭行业受内外部因素风险影响突出等问题,提出了煤矿系统性安全风险定义,分别阐述了煤矿系统性安全风险的特点、触发因素和传导机制。构建了煤矿系统性安全风险指标体系,涵盖1个一级指标、5个二级指标、25个三级指标,建立了煤矿系统性安全风险指数模型,并应用该模型对我国23个产煤省(区)2021年度煤矿系统性安全风险进行了分级分析研判。结果表明:一季度、四季度煤矿系统性安全风险指数高,分别为0.3926和0.3959,高于全国平均水平,主要是受企业普遍复工复产、抢工期赶进度、冬季供暖用煤量增加等因素影响,煤矿系统性安全风险呈现上升趋势|贵州、云南、陕西和河南4省煤矿系统性安全风险高,需重点加强对上述时段以及上述省份的煤矿安全监管,防范煤矿重特大事故发生。

关键词: 系统性安全风险, 传导机制, 指标体系, 安全风险指数

Abstract: In view of the problems that coal mine accidents often occur in our country, such as coal industry being affected by internal and external factors, the definition of coal mine systematic safety risk is put forward, this paper expounds the four characteristics, trigger factors and transmission mechanism of coal mine systematic safety risk. To construct the system of coal mine systematic safety risk index, including 1 first-class Index, 5 second-class index and 25 third-class index, and to establish the model of coal mine systematic safety risk index, the model was used to analyze and judge the systematic safety risk of 2021 coal mines in 23 coal-producing provinces (regions) of our country. The results show that: first, the first quarter, the fourth quarter coal mine system safety risk index is high, 0.3926 and 0.3959, respectively, higher than the national average level. Mainly due to the enterprises generally resume production, rush to catch up with the progress of construction, winter heating coal consumption increase and other factors, the coal mine systematic safety risk presents an upward trend; The systematic safety risk of coal mines in Guizhou, Yunnan, Shaanxi and Henan provinces is high. It is necessary to strengthen the supervision of coal mine safety during the above-mentioned period and in the above-mentioned provinces in order to prevent the occurrence of serious accidents in coal mines. The research results of this paper provide practical and effective theoretical guidance for the prevention of systematic safety risks in our country, and provide technical support for the supervision and supervision departments to carry out remote supervision and accurate prevention and resolution of major safety risks.

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