煤炭工程 ›› 2026, Vol. 58 ›› Issue (3): 191-197.doi: 10.11799/ce202603023

• 研究探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于ISM-BN与知识图谱的煤矿瓦斯灾害风险预警研究

祝令锦,蔡春城,尹慧敏,徐志奇,闫相宁,高洪波   

  1. 1. 上海大屯能源股份有限公司,江苏 徐州 221600

    2. 北京景通科信科技有限公司,北京 100000

    3. 应急管理部信息研究院,北京 100029

  • 收稿日期:2024-07-12 修回日期:2025-04-14 出版日期:2026-03-10 发布日期:2026-04-14
  • 通讯作者: 尹慧敏 E-mail:435046451@qq.com

Research on coal mine gas disaster risk warning based on ISM-BN and knowledge graphs#br#

  • Received:2024-07-12 Revised:2025-04-14 Online:2026-03-10 Published:2026-04-14

摘要:

为解决当前煤矿瓦斯灾害预警多侧重于分级预警,致灾因素及相关法律法规、预防措施未能有效关联,导致灾害预警信息内容繁杂、碎片化严重、呈现形式单一,难以形成系统完善的灾害预警防治体系的问题,提出一种基于ISM-BN与知识图谱融合的煤矿瓦斯灾害风险预警方法。首先,利用解释结构模型(ISM)与贝叶斯网络(BN)构建煤矿瓦斯灾害指标体系与风险预警模型;其次,以BN网络结构作为瓦斯灾害知识图谱的模式层,结合瓦斯防治领域的法律法规及规章制度进行知识实体抽取,完成煤矿瓦斯灾害知识图谱的构建。最后,将该模型在山西某矿进行工程应用,依据现场预警指标中的异常现象,对关键致因链路实体进行赋值,计算灾害发生概率,并通过图谱检索致灾路径上各因素的规范要求,形成针对性防治方案,切断致灾链路传播。应用结果表明,该方法可显著降低灾害发生概率,实现对煤矿瓦斯事故的有效预防。

关键词: 瓦斯灾害, 解释结构模型, 贝叶斯网络, 防治体系, 智能防控, 致因链

Abstract:

In response to the current coal mine gas disaster warning mostly focuses on disaster classification warning, disaster-causing factors and related laws and regulations, preventive measures failed to be associated in time, the disaster warning information content is complicated, the information fragmentation is serious, the presentation form is single, and it can't form the disaster warning prevention and control system well. The author proposes a research on coal mine gas disaster prediction and early warning technology based on knowledge mapping, utilizing the Interpretive Structural Model (ISM) for the construction of coal mine gas disaster indicator system, and then applying the Bayesian Network Model (BN) for the early warning of coal mine gas disaster; constructing the coal mine gas disaster mapping through the extraction of the knowledge entities of the gas disaster indicator system, gas laws and regulations, rules and regulations, etc.; and combining the Bayesian Network Model and the gas disaster warning information with the gas disaster indicator system, and the knowledge entities of the coal mine disaster prediction and early warning information. The combination of Bayesian network model and gas disaster mapping realizes the mapping construction of coal mine gas warning and prevention system, which facilitates the timely sending of gas warning information and the rapid response of prevention and control measures.

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