煤炭工程 ›› 2022, Vol. 54 ›› Issue (4): 86-91.doi: 10.11799/ce202204016

• 研究探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于PSO-SVR预测模型的综采工作面周期来压研究

吕文玉1,王海金1,伍永平2,杜旭峰1,贺雁鹏2,贾栋栋3   

  1. 1. 西安科技大学能源学院
    2. 西安科技大学
    3. 小保当煤矿
  • 收稿日期:2021-11-12 修回日期:2022-01-05 出版日期:2022-04-15 发布日期:2022-07-06
  • 通讯作者: 吕文玉 E-mail:lvwenyu@xust.edu.cn

PSO-SVR Prediction Model of Periodic Compression in Fully Mechanized Working Face

  • Received:2021-11-12 Revised:2022-01-05 Online:2022-04-15 Published:2022-07-06

摘要: 为了准确预测综采工作面基本顶周期来压规律,采用灰度系统理论提取了影响综采工作面周期来压的八个显著因素。针对支持向量机(SVR)预测模型过分依赖主观选择的参数问题,建立了粒子群算法优化参数选择的支持向量机(PSO-SVR)预测模型。试验结果得出:PSO-SVR比SVR模型在周期来压强度和步距的均方误差分别降低为47.7%、74.3%,决定系数分别提升为45.7%、44.6%。为突显PSO-SVR模型性能的优越性,与应用最广泛的BP普通神经网络进行了对比试验,粒子群算法对标准支持向量机模型性能优化效果明显,较普通BP神经网络优势显著。可见,PSO-SVR对于多种因素影响的非线性耦合预测具有较高的精度和较强的泛化性。

关键词: 支持向量机, 粒子群, 神经网络, 周期来压, 灰度理论

Abstract: To accurately predict the basic top cycle pressure law of a fully mechanized mining face, the gray system theory is used to extract eight significant features that affect the cycle pressure of a fully mechanized mining face; the support vector machine (SVR) prediction model is overly dependent on subjectively selected parameters. Established a support vector machine (PSO-SVR) prediction model for particle swarm optimization parameter selection. The test results show that the mean square error of the PSO-SVM model during the period of compressive strength and step distance is reduced to 47.7% and 74.3% respectively, and the coefficient of determination is increased to 45.7% and 44.6% respectively. To highlight the superiority of the PSO-SVM algorithm model, the most widely used BP general neural network is established for comparison experiments. The results show that the particle swarm algorithm has a significant effect on the performance optimization of the standard support vector machine model, and has obvious advantages over the ordinary BP neural network. Therefore, PSO-SVM has high accuracy and strong generalization for the nonlinear coupling prediction affected by multiple factors. This study can effectively predict the periodic pressure law to provide a reference value for safe and efficient mining in a fully mechanized mining face.

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