煤炭工程 ›› 2021, Vol. 53 ›› Issue (2): 186-190.doi: 10.11799/ce202102036

• 工程管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于演化博弈的集团化煤炭企业安全投入与监督研究

辛宪耀   

  1. 辽宁工程技术大学
  • 收稿日期:2020-04-30 修回日期:2020-07-31 出版日期:2021-02-20 发布日期:2021-05-10
  • 通讯作者: 李刚 E-mail:13904985246@163.com

Study on Safety Investment and Supervision of Group Coal Enterprises Based on Evolutionary Game

  • Received:2020-04-30 Revised:2020-07-31 Online:2021-02-20 Published:2021-05-10

摘要: 为了对我国煤炭行业生产矿井与集团公司安全投入进行分析,在博弈双方有限理性的基础上,建立了在政府统一规制下生产矿井与集团公司安全投入的演化博弈模型,得出了博弈双方稳定的安全投入策略。依据建立的演化博弈模型,并根据复制动态方程得到了博弈双方的七种演化策略。通过模型分析和实例验证分析,结果表明,博弈双方稳定策略的选择与集团公司监督成本、生产矿井安全成本、集团公司业绩考核体系中经济指标的权重系数、单位BP安全强制投入额等四方面密切相关,其中随着前三者的下降和单位BP安全强制投入额的上升,集团公司和生产矿井会更大概率地倾向于严格监督和完全投入。该研究成果为集团公司严格监督、生产矿井完全投入制定相关政策提供了依据。

关键词: 演化博弈, 煤炭企业, 安全投入, 生产矿井

Abstract: In order to solve the problem of insufficient safety investment under the management structure of China's coal industry, an evolutionary game model of the first line of mines and headquarters under the unified regulation of the government was established from the perspective of evolutionary game based on the bounded rationality of both sides of the game. The dynamic equations were derived from seven evolutionary strategies of both sides of the game. Through model analysis and case verification, it was concluded that the choice of the stability strategy of the two parties was closely related to the supervision cost of the headquarters, the safety cost of the mines, the weight of the economy development index in the performance evaluation system of the group company, the mandatory investment amount of the unit BP. With the decline of the former three and the rise of the mandatory investment amount of the unit BP, the headquarters and mines tend to be strictly supervised and fully invested with greater probability. Finally, in order to urge the headquarters to strictly supervise and fully invest in the mines, relevant policy recommendations were put forward.

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