煤炭工程 ›› 2024, Vol. 56 ›› Issue (9): 121-126.doi: 10.11799/ce202409019

• 研究探讨 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于POI-ConvLSTM 模型的周期来压预测研究

尹春雷   

  1. 1. 北京天玛智控科技股份有限公司,北京 101399

    2. 北京航空航天大学 软件学院,北京 100191

  • 收稿日期:2024-03-14 修回日期:2024-05-08 出版日期:2023-09-20 发布日期:2025-01-08
  • 通讯作者: 尹春雷 E-mail:15510681673@163.com

POI ConvLSTM Model Prediction of Periodic Weighting

  • Received:2024-03-14 Revised:2024-05-08 Online:2023-09-20 Published:2025-01-08

摘要:

针对综采工作面周期来压预测的技术难题,研究了理论分析、数据采集与预处理、模型评估与优化等方法,提出了具有时空关联分析与POIPoint of Intersesting)数据的ConvLSTM模型,利用多源数据融合得到周期来压预测的最优解,实现工作面环境状态的实时感知和预测。试验结果表明:基于POI-ConvLSTM的工作面周期来压预测模型,均方误差为0.159R2评价指标为0.999,相比于Seq2SeqConvLSTM模型的均方误差分别降低了68.07%4.22%。可见,融合了多元数据POI-ConvLSTM模型的预测精度更高,普适性更强,能够准确地提前预测周期来压问题。

关键词: POI, ConvLSTM, 周期来压, 时空关联

Abstract:

The hydraulic support system in China cannot accurately predict disasters such as roof, coal brust, coal and gas outbursts, and the prediction of periodic weighting during support in complex environments of fully mechanized mining faces has always been a major challenge for unmanned working faces. To address this issue, research has found that the ConvLSTM model with spatiotemporal correlation analysis and Point of Intersection (POI) data has been established through methods such as theoretical analysis, data collection and preprocessing, model evaluation and optimization. To obtain the optimal solution for periodic pressure prediction. Realize real-time perception and prediction of the working environment status. The experimental results show that the mean square error of the POI ConvLSTM model prediction of working face periodic weighting is 0.159, and the R2 evaluation index is 0.999. Compared with the Seq2Seq and ConvLSTM models, the mean square error is reduced by 68.07% and 4.22%, respectively. Therefore, the POI ConvLSTM model that integrates multiple data sources has higher prediction accuracy, stronger universality, and can accurately predict periodic pressure problems in advance.

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